Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.002346 0.002486 0.002635 0.002807 0.003000 0.003211 0.003463
2025-02-09 0.002182 0.002383 0.002609 0.002887 0.003223 0.003625 0.004155
2025-02-16 0.002037 0.002271 0.002545 0.002898 0.003351 0.003932 0.004770
2025-02-23 0.001967 0.002232 0.002554 0.002986 0.003574 0.004385 0.005674
2025-03-02 0.001858 0.002133 0.002475 0.002948 0.003617 0.004590 0.006267
2025-03-09 0.001755 0.002031 0.002382 0.002877 0.003600 0.004697 0.006722
2025-03-16 0.001715 0.002006 0.002384 0.002934 0.003770 0.005118 0.007877
2025-03-23 0.001675 0.001979 0.002379 0.002977 0.003923 0.005540 0.009232
2025-03-30 0.001615 0.001919 0.002326 0.002945 0.003948 0.005739 0.010191
2025-04-06 0.001545 0.001842 0.002244 0.002861 0.003878 0.005745 0.010661
2025-04-13 0.001494 0.001791 0.002193 0.002822 0.003879 0.005889 0.011614
2025-04-20 0.001412 0.001692 0.002072 0.002665 0.003662 0.005555 0.010934
2025-04-27 0.001384 0.001669 0.002061 0.002685 0.003767 0.005934 0.012950
2025-05-04 0.001371 0.001666 0.002080 0.002755 0.003973 0.006601 0.017036
2025-05-11 0.001343 0.001641 0.002063 0.002764 0.004067 0.007039 0.021184
2025-05-18 0.001334 0.001643 0.002088 0.002845 0.004313 0.007970 0.032686
2025-05-25 0.001298 0.001604 0.002047 0.002810 0.004317 0.008226 0.040636
2025-06-01 0.001258 0.001556 0.001992 0.002745 0.004250 0.008249 0.046389
2025-06-08 0.001246 0.001552 0.002002 0.002797 0.004443 0.009197 0.097510
2025-06-15 0.001233 0.001543 0.002006 0.002837 0.004617 0.010199 0.536175
2025-06-22 0.001206 0.001513 0.001973 0.002807 0.004623 0.010563 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001170 0.001468 0.001917 0.002730 0.004507 0.010369 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001145 0.001439 0.001883 0.002694 0.004488 0.010606 NaN